La economía de Israel podría crecer un 4,6% en 2021

Mamilla Mall, centro comercial de Jerusalén
Mamilla Mall, centro comercial de Jerusalén

La economía de Israel podría crecer un 4,6 por ciento en 2021 bajo la perspectiva más probable para el año. Incluye un surgimiento gradual de la pandemia, dijo el Ministerio de Finanzas en un informe el domingo.

En un escenario menos probable de un deterioro continuo de la economía, el pronóstico de crecimiento es solo del 1,9%, aseguró.

A su vez, las cifras finales del PIB aún no están disponibles para 2020, pero el Ministerio de Finanzas espera ver que la economía se contrajo alrededor del 3.3% durante el año azotado por la pandemia. Si ese es el caso, sería mejor que la contracción del 4,15% pronosticada por la OCDE, y superaría la caída promedio del 5,5% entre todos los países de la OCDE el año pasado.

Por su parte, el desempeño económico de Israel fue el séptimo mejor de los 37 países miembros OCDE, mostró el informe. En tanto, China fue el único país de la OCDE que informó un crecimiento del PIB en 2020.

Las exportaciones de Israel que comprenden una gran parte de la economía, se vieron perjudicadas mucho menos de lo esperado. Mientras que, las exportaciones de servicios de alta tecnología, crecieron a lo largo del año.

Sin embargo, señaló el informe, el mercado laboral local se vio más afectado que el promedio de la OCDE, ya que los bloqueos llevaron a caídas en el consumo privado. El desempleo para todo 2020 fue de alrededor del 15,4%, después de alcanzar un máximo del 36,1% en abril, dijo el Ministerio de Finanzas.

En 2021, el desempleo alcanzará entre el 8,6% y el 11,6%, dependiendo de qué tan rápido se recupere la economía, según el informe. En 2019, Israel registró un desempleo récord del 3,8%.

La inflación disminuyó un 0,6% en 2020 y el índice de precios al consumidor aumentó un 1,1%. Para 2021, el Tesoro espera una inflación del 0,3% y un aumento del 0,5% en el IPC.

El salario promedio en Israel probablemente disminuirá algo en 2021, de alrededor de 11.500 NIS en 2020 a 11.100 NIS, señaló el Tesoro.

Vía The Jerusalem Post

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